TRREB's May 2026 Market Watch shows the Greater Toronto Area absorbing inventory — more sales, fewer new listings, and an average price down from a year ago but steadier month-to-month.
With a posted five-year rate near 6.09 per cent shaping every figure above, the monthly payment is the number most buyers actually feel. Run yours on our mortgage payment calculator — price, down payment, rate and amortization — and see what a given purchase looks like in real dollars.
Open the mortgage payment calculatorGTA home sales reached 6,583 in May, up 6.3 per cent from a year earlier, while new listings fell 18.9 per cent to 17,698 and active inventory dropped 13.3 per cent to 26,927. More buyers met fewer choices, and TRREB notes that standing inventory has been absorbed and competition between buyers has likely increased in some neighbourhoods. Homes took 27 days to sell on average, up from 25.
Price tells a slower story. The GTA average selling price was $1,069,700, down 4.6 per cent year-over-year, and the MLS Home Price Index Composite was off 6.7 per cent — though TRREB reports the average edged up month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis versus April. Condominium apartments, the segment we work in most, averaged $639,468, down 6.4 per cent year-over-year, across 1,535 sales and 23.3 per cent of all GTA transactions. With the Bank of Canada overnight rate at 2.3 per cent, prime at 4.5 per cent and a posted five-year mortgage at 6.09 per cent, borrowing costs remain the backdrop to every one of these numbers.
TRREB observed that buyers held substantial negotiating power through the spring. With active listings down 13.3 per cent year-over-year and sales rising, that advantage is thinning in some neighbourhoods rather than disappearing. Prices are softer year-over-year — the condo average of $639,468 is down 6.4 per cent — so there's real room to negotiate, but it's worth moving deliberately rather than assuming unlimited time.
Thinner inventory works in your favour — new listings are down 18.9 per cent — but the year-over-year price picture asks for realism. With the GTA average down 4.6 per cent and condos off 6.4 per cent from last spring, and homes taking 27 days to sell, pricing to today's comparables rather than last year's is what meets the current pool of buyers. TRREB's own view is that, with inventory being absorbed, the price trend should flatten and ultimately trend upwards — that's their outlook, not a guarantee.
Figures: TRREB Market Watch, May 2026 — deemed reliable, not guaranteed. This is our own read on the market, not advice or a forecast.
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